Hot Picks

AI-vetted picks: crashed companies whose fundamentals still hold up.

Earlier picks 3

Everything the screener has flagged before, most recent first.

HUBS

👀 WATCH detected 2026-10-01 Fundamentals61/100

~Watch: Cheap on cash flow and growth, but the stock keeps sliding on real evidence that AI tools are slowing new customer growth — not yet a clear buy.

Declined -75.6% from its all-time high of $841.26 — now $204.98

I bought this

Full analysis & scorecard›

What's going on

HubSpot's stock has been grinding down for most of 2026 on a sector-wide "AI will replace SaaS software" fear, and that fear got concrete confirmation in August 2026 when the company beat on revenue/profit but gave guidance showing growth decelerating and added only ~7,000 net new customers, well below prior pace — the stock fell 20% on that print alone, and has kept falling since (down another ~24% in the last month) as it got dropped from a major stock index, likely forcing more selling.

The case for it

HubSpot is still growing revenue almost 20% a year, throws off $667M in free cash flow, has very little debt, and trades at just over 12x next year's expected earnings — historically a very low multiple for this company (it used to trade near 200x earnings). If the AI-disruption fear turns out to be overblown and HubSpot's own AI features (Breeze, agents) keep customers instead of losing them to cheap AI-built alternatives, the stock could re-rate sharply higher, and analysts' average price target is already ~22-27% above today's price.

What could go wrong

The core bear case is structural, not sentiment: AI chatbots and "vibe-coded" in-house tools genuinely threaten to replace parts of what companies pay HubSpot for, and the company's own disclosures and slowing net customer additions are early evidence this is already happening, not just a false panic — a cheap statistic can stay cheap, or get cheaper, if customer growth keeps decelerating each quarter.

Fwd P/E 12.2Op margin 4.9%Rev growth 19.8%Debt/equity 14.3%Analyst upside 21.8%

How this scored 61/100

✅ Passes all 4 hard checks — profitable, cash-generative, and financially survivable.

✅ Makes money Net profit margin 4.3%

✅ Generates cash Free cash flow $667M

✅ Not drowning in debt Debt/equity 14.3% (limit 200%)

✅ Can pay its bills Current ratio 1.4 (needs 1+)

Bar length shows how much each metric is worth — a 10-point metric is twice as wide as a 5-point one. Hover any row for what it means.

Profitability Does it actually make money? 5/25

Operating margin 4.9% 2/9

Net profit margin 4.3% 2/8

Return on equity 7.9% 1/8

Growth Is it getting bigger, or dying? 18/25

Revenue growth 19.8% 7/9

Earnings growth unknown 2/8

Expected profit change 499.3% 8/8

Value Is it cheap right now? 19/25

Forward P/E 12.2 9/10

PEG ratio 0.2 8/8

Analyst target upside 21.8% 3/7

Balance sheet Will it survive? 19/25

Debt / equity 14.3% 10/10

Current ratio 1.4 2/8

Free cash flow $667M 7/7

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BEKE

👀 WATCH detected 2026-10-01 Fundamentals65/100

~Watch: Cheap and cash-rich, but tied to China's still-struggling property market, with real growth still negative — not a slam dunk.

Declined -77.7% from its all-time high of $75.65 — now $16.85

I bought this

Full analysis & scorecard›

What's going on

BEKE is a Chinese real-estate brokerage platform (think a mix of Zillow/Redfin for China) that crashed from its 2020 IPO highs because China's property market has been in a multi-year slump since 2021 (developer defaults like Evergrande, falling home sales, and government crackdowns on the property sector), and that slump is structural, not a one-time event — revenue is still shrinking (-5.7%) today.

The case for it

The company has an enormous net cash cushion ($47B cash vs only $14.4B debt) and improved profitability (earnings up 111% year-over-year, low debt relative to equity), while trading at a cheap forward valuation (13.4x forward earnings, PEG of 0.4) and far below analyst price targets. If China's property market stabilizes or the government's support measures finally take hold, a company with this balance sheet could re-rate sharply higher.

What could go wrong

The core business still depends entirely on Chinese home sales volume, which remains weak (revenue shrinking, not growing), margins are thin (5.3% net margin, 7% return on equity), and Chinese ADRs carry extra risks like opaque corporate structures (VIE), government policy shifts, and potential delisting threats — the market may be correctly pricing in more years of a depressed Chinese housing market rather than missing a bargain.

Fwd P/E 13.4Op margin 12.3%Rev growth -5.7%Debt/equity 21.9%Analyst upside 41.5%

How this scored 65/100

✅ Passes all 4 hard checks — profitable, cash-generative, and financially survivable.

✅ Makes money Net profit margin 5.3%

✅ Generates cash Free cash flow $4.3B

✅ Not drowning in debt Debt/equity 21.9% (limit 200%)

✅ Can pay its bills Current ratio 1.7 (needs 1+)

Bar length shows how much each metric is worth — a 10-point metric is twice as wide as a 5-point one. Hover any row for what it means.

Profitability Does it actually make money? 7/25

Operating margin 12.3% 4/9

Net profit margin 5.3% 2/8

Return on equity 7.0% 1/8

Growth Is it getting bigger, or dying? 16/25

Revenue growth -5.7% 0/9

Earnings growth 111.4% 8/8

Expected profit change 99.4% 8/8

Value Is it cheap right now? 21/25

Forward P/E 13.4 8/10

PEG ratio 0.4 8/8

Analyst target upside 41.5% 5/7

Balance sheet Will it survive? 21/25

Debt / equity 21.9% 10/10

Current ratio 1.7 4/8

Free cash flow $4.3B 7/7

NOV

👀 WATCH detected 2026-10-01 Fundamentals56/100

~Watch: Interesting cyclical recovery story at a cheap forward price, but current profitability is paper-thin and tied to volatile oil prices — wait for confirmation, don't chase the dip.

Declined -78.3% from its all-time high of $86.43 — now $18.73

I bought this

Full analysis & scorecard›

What's going on

This isn't a sudden crash — NOV has been stuck near these lows for over a decade since the 2014 shale bust gutted demand for its drilling equipment, and margins are only now slowly recovering with cost cuts; the recent 13.7% pullback from its 30-day high looks tied to falling oil prices as Iran/Strait-of-Hormuz tensions eased, a sector-wide move rather than company-specific bad news.

The case for it

The balance sheet is genuinely solid (lots of cash versus manageable debt, plenty of short-term liquidity) and the company generates real free cash flow, so it won't go bankrupt. Analysts' price targets average meaningfully above today's price, and the forward P/E (what you pay per dollar of next year's expected profit) of 14.6 with a PEG near 0.77 (price relative to expected growth) suggests the market may be underpricing a recovery in offshore drilling activity.

What could go wrong

Current profitability is extremely weak — only 1.1% of revenue falls to the bottom line and return on equity is just 1.5%, meaning the business is barely making money even now; if oil prices stay soft or shale/offshore capex disappoints, those thin margins could flip negative again, and the stock has already proven it can stay depressed for a decade.

Fwd P/E 14.6Op margin 7.2%Rev growth -2.5%Debt/equity 37.2%Analyst upside 18.4%

How this scored 56/100

✅ Passes all 4 hard checks — profitable, cash-generative, and financially survivable.

✅ Makes money Net profit margin 1.1%

✅ Generates cash Free cash flow $673M

✅ Not drowning in debt Debt/equity 37.2% (limit 200%)

✅ Can pay its bills Current ratio 2.4 (needs 1+)

Bar length shows how much each metric is worth — a 10-point metric is twice as wide as a 5-point one. Hover any row for what it means.

Profitability Does it actually make money? 3/25

Operating margin 7.2% 3/9

Net profit margin 1.1% 0/8

Return on equity 1.5% 0/8

Growth Is it getting bigger, or dying? 12/25

Revenue growth -2.5% 1/9

Earnings growth 7.6% 4/8

Expected profit change 374.0% 8/8

Value Is it cheap right now? 17/25

Forward P/E 14.6 8/10

PEG ratio 0.8 7/8

Analyst target upside 18.4% 2/7

Balance sheet Will it survive? 24/25

Debt / equity 37.2% 9/10

Current ratio 2.4 8/8

Free cash flow $673M 7/7

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