Hot Picks

AI-vetted picks: crashed companies whose fundamentals still hold up.

Earlier picks 3

Everything the screener has flagged before, most recent first.

TTD

⚠ TRAP detected 2026-07-28 Fundamentals69/100

✗Avoid: Avoid — this is a two-year structural decline from Amazon eating its core business, not a one-off panic, and cheap multiples reflect a shrinking growth story.

Declined -87.1% from its all-time high of $139.11 — now $17.88

I bought this

Full analysis & scorecard›

What's going on

The stock has fallen 87% over 18+ months due to a genuine, ongoing competitive threat: Amazon's DSP has aggressively undercut TTD on price and is bundling premium inventory (Netflix, Disney, Roku), causing revenue growth to decelerate from the high-20s% to low-teens%, plus a March 2026 audit dispute with agency giant Publicis over fee transparency (since resolved in June 2026) that further spooked the market.

The case for it

The bull case rests on: the Publicis dispute is now resolved and was arguably a symptom of industry-wide fee tension rather than fraud; the CEO bought roughly $150M of stock in March 2026, a real vote of confidence; and forward P/E of 8.45 with a PEG of 0.82 prices in a lot of pessimism already, so if growth merely stabilizes near 15-20% the stock could re-rate.

What could go wrong

Amazon is a much bigger company that can subsidize DSP pricing for years to take share, and once large advertisers shift workflows to Amazon's platform they rarely shift back — this looks like a structural, not cyclical, share loss. Earnings growth is already negative (-20%) despite still-positive revenue growth, meaning margins are compressing as TTD is forced to cut fees to compete, exactly the kind of deterioration that makes "backward-looking" profitability numbers unreliable guides to the future.

Fwd P/E 8.4Op margin 9.7%Rev growth 11.8%Debt/equity 17.3%Analyst upside 34.1%

How this scored 69/100

✅ Passes all 4 hard checks — profitable, cash-generative, and financially survivable.

✅ Makes money Net profit margin 14.6%

✅ Generates cash Free cash flow $569M

✅ Not drowning in debt Debt/equity 17.3% (limit 200%)

✅ Can pay its bills Current ratio 1.7 (needs 1+)

Bar length shows how much each metric is worth — a 10-point metric is twice as wide as a 5-point one. Hover any row for what it means.

Profitability Does it actually make money? 14/25

Operating margin 9.7% 3/9

Net profit margin 14.6% 6/8

Return on equity 16.7% 5/8

Growth Is it getting bigger, or dying? 13/25

Revenue growth 11.8% 5/9

Earnings growth -20.0% 0/8

Expected profit change 144.0% 8/8

Value Is it cheap right now? 21/25

Forward P/E 8.4 10/10

PEG ratio 0.8 7/8

Analyst target upside 34.1% 4/7

Balance sheet Will it survive? 21/25

Debt / equity 17.3% 10/10

Current ratio 1.7 4/8

Free cash flow $569M 7/7

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ENPH

⚠ TRAP detected 2026-07-28 Fundamentals58/100

✗Avoid: Avoid — the core US residential market that built Enphase's profits just lost its federal tax credit, and revenue/margins are actively shrinking, not stabilizing.

Declined -88.7% from its all-time high of $336.00 — now $38.01

I bought this

Full analysis & scorecard›

What's going on

The stock's multi-year decline and current level are driven by a structural, ongoing problem: the US federal residential solar tax credit (Section 25D) expired at the end of 2025, and Enphase itself said this caused a sharp drop in US demand and revenue.

The case for it

Bulls point to a strong balance sheet (lots of cash, low debt) and a cheap forward P/E, plus a longer-term bet on new products like solid-state transformers for AI data centers. But that AI story is years away from mattering (volume shipments not targeted until 2028), while the core microinverter/battery business is shrinking right now because its biggest tailwind — a 30% federal tax credit for homeowners — is gone.

What could go wrong

The reported "backward-looking" profitability numbers (9.6% net margin, positive ROE) are propped up partly by one-off items like selling tax credits and safe-harbor shipment timing, not organic demand; meanwhile revenue fell 20.6% YoY, gross margins are compressing, GAAP operating margin is negative, and US sell-through demand reportedly dropped roughly 48% quarter-over-quarter — this looks like a business in genuine decline, not a temporarily mispriced one.

Fwd P/E 15.8Op margin -9.1%Rev growth -20.6%Debt/equity 55.5%Analyst upside 28.7%

How this scored 58/100

✅ Passes all 4 hard checks — profitable, cash-generative, and financially survivable.

✅ Makes money Net profit margin 9.6%

✅ Generates cash Free cash flow $92M

✅ Not drowning in debt Debt/equity 55.5% (limit 200%)

✅ Can pay its bills Current ratio 3.8 (needs 1+)

Bar length shows how much each metric is worth — a 10-point metric is twice as wide as a 5-point one. Hover any row for what it means.

Profitability Does it actually make money? 8/25

Operating margin -9.1% 0/9

Net profit margin 9.6% 4/8

Return on equity 14.1% 4/8

Growth Is it getting bigger, or dying? 10/25

Revenue growth -20.6% 0/9

Earnings growth unknown 2/8

Expected profit change 138.6% 8/8

Value Is it cheap right now? 17/25

Forward P/E 15.8 8/10

PEG ratio 1.0 6/8

Analyst target upside 28.7% 3/7

Balance sheet Will it survive? 23/25

Debt / equity 55.5% 8/10

Current ratio 3.8 8/8

Free cash flow $92M 7/7

source · source · source · source · source

GFS

⚠ TRAP detected 2026-07-27 Fundamentals62/100

✗Avoid: Avoid — this is a stock unwinding an unsustainable rally, with earnings already collapsing 52% and more risk due at the Aug 5 report.

Fell -22.4% in 11 trading day(s) — now $53.53

I bought this

Full analysis & scorecard›

What's going on

No single bad-news event (no fraud, lawsuit, or lost customer) was found; instead, coverage shows GFS had rocketed up over 100% year-to-date to an all-time high in mid-June and has since been sliding for many consecutive days as investors decide the stock got too expensive relative to its actual growth.

The case for it

The bull case would be that this is just a healthy cooldown after a huge speculative run-up, and that the balance sheet (lots of cash, low debt) gives a cushion. If you believe the market overreacted to valuation worries and the chip business is fine, today's price could be a discount entry point ahead of the Aug 5 earnings report.

What could go wrong

Earnings (profit) actually fell 52.5% from a year ago even though revenue barely grew 3%, meaning the 'profitable company' label is masking a business whose bottom line is deteriorating fast; a 38x trailing P/E is not cheap for a company with shrinking profits, and with earnings due August 5 there could be another leg down if guidance disappoints — buying into an unresolved earnings event with no clear catalyst for the crash is exactly the kind of situation that turns into a value trap.

Fwd P/E 21.3Op margin 11.0%Rev growth 3.1%Debt/equity 14.7%Analyst upside 51.3%

How this scored 62/100

✅ Passes all 4 hard checks — profitable, cash-generative, and financially survivable.

✅ Makes money Net profit margin 11.4%

✅ Generates cash Free cash flow $1.2B

✅ Not drowning in debt Debt/equity 14.7% (limit 200%)

✅ Can pay its bills Current ratio 2.6 (needs 1+)

Bar length shows how much each metric is worth — a 10-point metric is twice as wide as a 5-point one. Hover any row for what it means.

Profitability Does it actually make money? 9/25

Operating margin 11.0% 4/9

Net profit margin 11.4% 5/8

Return on equity 6.8% 1/8

Growth Is it getting bigger, or dying? 10/25

Revenue growth 3.1% 2/9

Earnings growth -52.5% 0/8

Expected profit change 81.1% 8/8

Value Is it cheap right now? 18/25

Forward P/E 21.3 6/10

PEG ratio 1.1 6/8

Analyst target upside 51.3% 6/7

Balance sheet Will it survive? 25/25

Debt / equity 14.7% 10/10

Current ratio 2.6 8/8

Free cash flow $1.2B 7/7

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