DLO
🔥 HOT detected 2026-09-28 Fundamentals78/100Declined -79.3% from its all-time high of $67.97 — now $14.08
I bought this
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What's going on
The stock cratered in 2022-2023 after short-seller Muddy Waters alleged accounting fraud in emerging markets like Argentina; independent audit committee reviews found no wrongdoing, but the stock never recovered as investors kept fearing further reports and watched gross margins compress from competition and a shift toward larger, lower-margin enterprise clients.
The case for it
DLocal still processes payments for big global names (Amazon, Nike, Uber) in hard-to-serve emerging markets, and its revenue is still growing over 55% a year with very little debt and lots of cash. Management just started a $300 million buyback and its first-ever dividend, which is not something a company facing real fraud or collapse typically does. At a forward P/E of about 12x versus 55%+ revenue growth, and with analysts' average price target roughly 35-48% above today's price, the market seems to be pricing in permanent margin decay rather than crediting the company for still being a fast-growing, profitable business.
What could go wrong
Gross margins have genuinely fallen from ~53% (2021) to ~37% (2025) due to real competitive pressure and a strategic pivot to larger, lower-take-rate merchants, and about 61% of revenue is concentrated in its top 10 merchants — losing even one could hurt results significantly; the fraud allegations were also never 100% conclusively disproven to skeptics, so headline risk from future short reports remains real.
How this scored 78/100
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