Wingstop Inc. (WING): a likely value trap?

Avoid — this isn't a one-off panic, it's the third guidance cut in a row as core low-income customers keep pulling back.

⚠ TRAP Fundamentals70/100

Fell 20% in 10 trading day(s) — now $111.36

$434$105 peak $423 2023202420252026

Why WING dropped

Wingstop has missed and cut same-store sales guidance repeatedly in 2026 (April, May, July), with Q2 domestic same-store sales falling 7.5% and full-year guidance now cut to a 4-6% decline, driven by weaker digital traffic and lower-income consumers pinched by gas prices; a Bernstein downgrade on Aug 3 citing "lack of near-term catalysts" and continued drift pushed the stock down further into August.

Fwd P/E 20.8Op margin 29.8%Rev growth 6.4%Debt/equity Analyst upside 85.5%
How this scored 70/100
✅ Passes all 4 hard checks — profitable, cash-generative, and financially survivable.
Makes money Net profit margin 16.2%
Generates cash Free cash flow $99M
Not drowning in debt Debt/equity unknown (limit 200%)
Can pay its bills Current ratio 3.0 (needs 1+)

Bar length shows how much each metric is worth — a 10-point metric is twice as wide as a 5-point one. Hover any row for what it means.

Profitability Does it actually make money? 18/25
Operating margin 29.8% 9/9
Net profit margin 16.2% 6/8
Return on equity unknown 2/8
Growth Is it getting bigger, or dying? 17/25
Revenue growth 6.4% 3/9
Earnings growth 19.8% 6/8
Expected profit change 26.8% 7/8
Value Is it cheap right now? 17/25
Forward P/E 20.8 6/10
PEG ratio 1.8 4/8
Analyst target upside 85.5% 7/7
Balance sheet Will it survive? 18/25
Debt / equity unknown 3/10
Current ratio 3.0 8/8
Free cash flow $99M 7/7

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Analysis generated by SmartStonks's AI from public fundamentals and news, first flagged 2026-08-12. Research only — not financial advice.