Match Group, Inc. (MTCH): a likely value trap?

Avoid — cheap because Tinder, its main profit engine, has been shrinking for two straight years with no proven fix yet.

⚠ TRAP Fundamentals68/100

Down 75% from its all-time high of $169.53 — now $43.16

Why MTCH dropped

The stock never crashed once and rebounded — it has been grinding down for years because Tinder (still the majority of revenue) keeps losing paying users, with the company reporting its eighth consecutive quarter of falling total payers and weak forward guidance as recently as its last earnings report.

Fwd P/E 9.4Op margin 28.8%Rev growth -1.2%Debt/equity —Analyst upside -3.0%

How this scored 68/100

✅ Passes all 4 hard checks — profitable, cash-generative, and financially survivable.

✅ Makes money Net profit margin 20.2%

✅ Generates cash Free cash flow $931M

✅ Not drowning in debt Debt/equity unknown (limit 200%)

✅ Can pay its bills Current ratio 1.7 (needs 1+)

Bar length shows how much each metric is worth — a 10-point metric is twice as wide as a 5-point one. Hover any row for what it means.

Profitability Does it actually make money? 19/25

Operating margin 28.8% 9/9

Net profit margin 20.2% 8/8

Return on equity unknown 2/8

Growth Is it getting bigger, or dying? 17/25

Revenue growth -1.2% 1/9

Earnings growth 50.4% 8/8

Expected profit change 62.3% 8/8

Value Is it cheap right now? 18/25

Forward P/E 9.4 10/10

PEG ratio 0.4 8/8

Analyst target upside -3.0% 0/7

Balance sheet Will it survive? 14/25

Debt / equity unknown 3/10

Current ratio 1.7 4/8

Free cash flow $931M 7/7

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Analysis generated by SmartStonks's AI from public fundamentals and news, first flagged 2026-09-22. Research only — not financial advice.